Week One in the NFL: Bills, Locks & Upsets

First, can I just say, thank god football is back?!

Welcome to our weekly segment where Dirty Dietz, Hambone, Nick and Vito predict the outcome of our beloved Buffalo Bills game, along with their mortal lock of the week and their upset of the week. We’re going to compete against one another, because what’s life without more gambling. Here’s our predictions for week one.

Dirty Dietz:

Bills vs. Ravens:

The start of the Nathan Peterman era will be a loss for Buffalo, though it won’t be as bad as many are expecting. I’m not sure how much I buy of the “Joe Flacco is looking better than ever” bullshit.” The Bills had solid defense last year and with the additions of guys like Harrison Philips, Vontae Davis, Trent Murphy, and Tre Edmunds, I expect this defense to be better overall, or at least they will be good enough to not let Joe throw all over him.

Ravens 24-21. Love the idea of taking the Bills +7.5

Win/Lock: Packers (-7.5) over Da Bears

People are hyping up the Bears way too much this year. Sure their defense can be top five in the league after adding Roquan Smith and Buffalo legend Khalil Mack to an already solid unit, but I have zero faith in Mitchell Trubisky. The Pack’s revamped secondary is going to pick that nerd apart in front of a national audience on Sunday. Hate to see it.

Side note: Aaron Rodgers, with Danica Patrick and her crystals by his side, is going to rock the league this year.

Upset: Buccaneers over the Saints (-9.5)

Once again, Ryan Fitzpatrick of the Harvard School of Witchcraft and Wizardry has used the dark arts to land himself a job starting games for an NFL team. I’m expecting him to come out gunslinging against a Saints defense that may regress a bit. I’ll be honest, I don’t have any real reasons to think this game turns out how I am saying it will, but every year, for better or worse, I fade the Saints hard. Didn’t work out so well last year. I at least expect the Bucs to cover the 9.5 point spread.




Bills vs. Ravens:

Buffalo has their work cut out for them to start the season going into Baltimore against a very impressive defense. Even with Jimmy Smith, their top corner being suspended, they have a lot of talent to give Peterman and the new-look Bills offensive line trouble. I expect Buffalo to struggle moving the ball consistently. They’ll need to rely on their improved upon defense to keep them in the game, something I’ll expect them to need to do most of the season. Joe Flacco is trash but I still predict Baltimore to have this game easily. A late touchdown by Buffalo will make a 23-9 whooping look more respectable with a final of 23-16.

Prediction: Ravens 23-16.

Win/Lock: Los Angeles Rams (-4, that’s it?) over Oakland Raiders

Gruden is clearly stuck in the 90s and 00s. He has no idea how to adapt and his team looks like a mix of overrated veterans. The Raiders were a promising team a few years ago when Derek Carr broke out and the defense had one of the biggest stars in the league in Khalil Mack. What did they do though? Trade him. The Rams on the other hand, have made several impressive additions to a team that is already loaded with talent. Marcus Peters, Ndamukong Suh and Brandin Cooks are just the highlights that were added this year. I expect a high scoring game for the Rams. They are my lock of the week.

Upset: Bengals over Colts (-2.5)

Buffalo got an up close and personal look at the new-look Bengals offense in the third game of the preseason. Dalton and the Bengals offense looked very impressive. I expect the defense to be strong again. Andrew Luck is back! However, he’s been gone for so long, I’m thinking it’ll take a few weeks for the offense to be in sync again. The defense is full of holes and has no real stars on it outside of Malik Hooker. The Colts are 2.5 point favorites, and I think the only reason they are is because they’re at home. The have no business being favorites. Bengals will take this one.




Bills vs. Ravens:

Petermania is back in full swing but I can’t pick the Bills after seeing how the offensive has performed throughout the preseason. I don’t think the Ravens will be particularly good this year, but John Harbough always seems to get the most out of that defense. The ageless Terrell Suggs will give the Bills’ ragtag o-line fits, and I think Eric Weddle will feast on Peterman.

Prediction: Ravens 24 – 10

Win/Lock: Patriots (-6.5) over Texans

I love Deshaun Watson and really hope he’ll tear it up this year, but the Patriots aren’t going to lose this one at home. New England is going to be on the warpath after last year’s Super Bowl, and the Texans are just chum in the water. Get ready for a lot of sad shots of Bill O’Brien’s chin canyon as they get run out of Gillette Stadium.

Prediction: Patriots 30-17

Upset: Seahawks over Broncos (-3)

Case Keenum’s carriage turned back into a pumpkin during the NFC Championship game last year, and I have no reason to believe that he has any idea how to transform it back. This game is pretty much a toss up but the Broncos have the home field advantage, hence the 3 point favorites. There has been a lot of hype about the Seahawks window slamming shut, and they have lost a ton of talent on defense, but I’m not scared of the Broncos offense. On the other hand, I think Russell Wilson will be able to create enough plays with his feet, avoiding pressure and creating time for his receivers to bust open.

Prediction: Seahawks 24 – 17



Bills vs. Ravens:

Bold take incoming! The Ravens passing attack will be picked apart by Buffalo’s secondary and their run game won’t be able to get going at all.

Prediction: Bills 17 – 10

Win/Lock: Bills over Ravens (-7.5)

Upset: Bills over Ravens

There you have it. Enjoy Sundays with football again!


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